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War is Unlikely to Happen |
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| Written by Nidhi, |
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1778  |
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 After the Mumbai incident, the chances of war between India and Pakistan are vivid. But so far we can observe the current situation deeply, “War is unlikely to happen”. There are many reasons behind it.
Some of them are:
Firstly, elections are approaching and none will like to disturb the schedule because of war. Opposition parties who are making promises to people of war against Pakistan, if come into power, is hardly going to happen. If they come in power, they will like to maintain the peace and the power and not lose it because of some unwise decisions and actions. If war occurs, again the party in opposition will make hue and cry for the incorrect decision of war and placing the country in predicament. That can lead to the fall of the government. All in all, there will be much exclamation in the parliament. Rest everyone knows about the political agendas and strategies. So no comments here!
Secondly, India like all other countries of the world is suffering of economic crisis. Inflation has crossed all the limits. Corruption is at its best. All the businesses are going down market from a long time. Industries are getting bankrupt. There is cut-off of jobs in private sector in lacs. People are committing suicides because of unemployment and debts. Oil and food crisis have added even more. Country don’t have much to spend on manufacturing of the new infrastructure or to provide better facilities in each and every regard to the people or to fight poverty, unemployment and hunger. Similar nastiest circumstances are in Pakistan also. So war in such a scenario will be really absurd and illogical for both.
Thirdly, war with Pakistan can be counter-productive. Terrorists which are based and quite active in Pakistan can increase the difficulties for India. Taliban has openly supported Pakistan army for the first time in the history of the two nations for the war against India. The third forces are trying to disrupt the peace process of India and Pakistan for their vested interests. India will have to get ready to fight with both Pakistani army and terrorist groups. Inside elements in India may cause destruction at various levels. Moreover, China too has alerted its army at Karakoram border. Involvement of US in between can weaken the relationship between US and India which have grown stronger after the nuclear deal.
Pakistan is facing inside threats. It is felt that Pakistan is not united internally but broken into many segments, groups and persons. Taliban has rebelled and Pakistan is fighting with its own people. The rise of democratic government and fall of army rule caused a lot of disturbance. Democratic government is still not independent to take decisions of its own but is still under pressure of the army. Army having a bad image among the people is still struggling to get its status and importance back. The democratic parties are even not united in the hour of need.
Taliban’s support is in question for what may be its real intentions. May be its making fake promises, when itself it is busy in fighting with the Pakistani army from so many months, so that Pakistani army may be shifted to Indian border and they can get fair chance to take over the area and meet their demands. So, shifting of Pakistani army from Afghanistan border may be at the cost of unity and harmony of the nation. So it will be really tough for not united Pakistan to face India.
Lastly, both India and Pakistan have nuke powers. It will be a greater risk to indulge in war by any of them. There has always been a risk that nuke missiles of Pakistan may go into the hands of terrorist groups, and they can misuse them blindly against India. And, if ever the nuclear war occurred, one thing is for sure, India and Pakistan both are going to suffer huge uncountable losses that will be unbearable for both the countries and will have to pay for the lose for next 50 years. Everything that they have created and earned in last more than 60 years of independence will be lost and none among the two can afford to go back into the catalog of under-developed countries, when in present times, they are planning and struggling to enter into the developed nations in the coming years. When the world is busy in developmental works, both can’t afford to destroy each other so badly, which will be tough to overcome and compensate in the next many years. Who will like to hack into the ages of 20-30 years back or even more?
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